Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000104 0.000115 0.000127 0.000141 0.000156 0.000173 0.000192
2025-12-07 0.000086 0.000101 0.000118 0.000138 0.000163 0.000191 0.000225
2025-12-14 0.000075 0.000093 0.000113 0.000140 0.000173 0.000213 0.000265
2025-12-21 0.000066 0.000085 0.000109 0.000140 0.000181 0.000233 0.000305
2025-12-28 0.000059 0.000078 0.000104 0.000139 0.000187 0.000251 0.000342
2026-01-04 0.000054 0.000074 0.000101 0.000141 0.000197 0.000274 0.000388
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000204 0.000293 0.000432
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000065 0.000095 0.000141 0.000210 0.000312 0.000475
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000062 0.000092 0.000140 0.000215 0.000328 0.000517
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000221 0.000347 0.000563
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000138 0.000224 0.000361 0.000603
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000052 0.000084 0.000137 0.000228 0.000377 0.000647
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000050 0.000082 0.000137 0.000234 0.000398 0.000702
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000136 0.000237 0.000413 0.000750
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000138 0.000247 0.000441 0.000821
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000139 0.000253 0.000464 0.000887
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000138 0.000257 0.000482 0.000945
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000140 0.000267 0.000511 0.001028
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000040 0.000073 0.000140 0.000273 0.000534 0.001102
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000038 0.000072 0.000140 0.000278 0.000555 0.001172
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000139 0.000282 0.000574 0.001240
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000036 0.000069 0.000139 0.000287 0.000597 0.001319
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000034 0.000067 0.000137 0.000289 0.000612 0.001380